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Autoregressive parameter updates

Here we give the update equation for the parameters of the autoregressive parameter distribution $ q(a_p\vert y)=N(\mu_{a_p},\Lambda_{a_p})$:

$\displaystyle \mu_{a_p}$ $\displaystyle =$ $\displaystyle F_{a_p}^{-1}E_{a_p}$  
$\displaystyle \Lambda_{a_p}$ $\displaystyle =$ $\displaystyle F_{a_p}^{-1}$ (41)

where:
$\displaystyle F_{a_p}$ $\displaystyle =$ $\displaystyle \sum_t (w_{tp}^TS_\epsilon w_{tp}) + \gamma_{a_p}D$  
$\displaystyle E_{a_p}$ $\displaystyle =$ $\displaystyle \sum_t w_{tp}^TS_\epsilon
(y_{t}-\sum_{q\neq p} w_{tq}\mu_{a_q} - x_t Q\mu_{B})$ (42)

where $ S_\epsilon=$Diag$ (\gamma_{{\epsilon_i}})$ and $ w_{tp} = y_{t-p}-x_{t-p}Q\mu_{B}$